The Iraq war has increased the threat posed by terrorists in Britain and around the world George Galloway has said it Clare Short made a similar assertion Charles Kennedy almost did so. Senior ministers dismiss these critics with a predictable disdain: "No surprise about Galloway ... Typical of Clare." "Poor old Kennedy misread the public mood." "The bombs in London are nothing to do with Iraq. Disgraceful that anyone could suggest otherwise." "Bad taste at a time when we must unite." But now they face a more substantial challenge. This week's authoritative report from the think-tank Chatham House is not so easily swept to one side.
It changes the tone and substance of what was becoming a deceptively tame debate.The report argues that Britain is at greater risk of a terrorist attack because of its close association with the US. It also asserts that the war against Iraq increases the capacity of terrorists to strike: "The conflict gave a boost to the al-Qa'ida network's propaganda, recruitment and fundraising, caused a major split in the coalition, provided an ideal targeting and training area for al-Qa'ida linked terrorists, and deflected resources and assistance that could have been deployed to assist the Karzai government in Afghanistan and to bring Bin Laden to justice."When established think-tanks disturb, ministers reveal their unease by protesting too much. The Defence Secretary, John Reid, got more worked up than he needed to do as he was probed fairly on the BBC yesterday about the report. The normally calm Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw, virtually screamed a soundbite of protestation into a passing camera.Mr Straw and Dr Reid have their case prepared. We will hear often in the coming weeks about the countries that suffered terrorist attacks before the war against Iraq.
Downing Street published a list last week.We will hear also a theoretically irrefutable argument from government that it would be cowardly to turn away from a conflict out of a fear of retaliation. Finally ministers will argue that terrorists strike in Iraq precisely because the war has been a success in establishing democracy The stakes are high. The terrorists must not be allowed to prevail.None of these superficially strong arguments address the criticisms in the Chatham House report. It is true that some countries were attacked before the war against Iraq No one disputes this.
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